2026 MLB Elo Forecast

Rankings

Standings

#	Team	Division	Rating	Last 7	Simulated Record	Postseason Chances
#	Team	Division	Rating	Last 7	Simulated Record	Make Playoffs	Win Division	Win World Series
1	MIL Milwaukee Brewers 103–59	NL Central	1578	0.0	103–59	>99%	>99%	16%
2	LAD Los Angeles Dodgers 100–62	NL West	1571	0.0	100–62	>99%	>99%	11%
3	NYY New York Yankees 92–68	AL East	1545	0.0	92–70	>99%	<1%	14%
4	SD San Diego Padres 91–71	NL West	1540	0.0	91–71	>99%	<1%	5%
5	TB Tampa Bay Rays 98–64	AL East	1539	0.0	98–64	>99%	>99%	19%
6	CHC Chicago Cubs 89–73	NL Central	1537	0.0	89–73	>99%	<1%	4%
7	ATL Atlanta Braves 94–69	NL East	1530	0.0	94–68	>99%	>99%	4%
8	BOS Boston Red Sox 87–75	AL East	1527	0.0	87–75	>99%	<1%	7%
9	PHI Philadelphia Phillies 88–74	NL East	1521	0.0	88–74	>99%	<1%	4%
10	AZ Arizona Diamondbacks 86–76	NL West	1511	0.0	86–76	<1%	<1%	<1%
11	CLE Cleveland Guardians 85–77	AL Central	1505	0.0	85–77	>99%	>99%	7%
12	BAL Baltimore Orioles 79–82	AL East	1502	0.0	79–83	<1%	<1%	<1%
13	DET Detroit Tigers 76–86	AL Central	1500	0.0	76–86	<1%	<1%	<1%
14	PIT Pittsburgh Pirates 82–80	NL Central	1497	0.0	82–80	<1%	<1%	<1%
15	CWS Chicago White Sox 84–78	AL Central	1495	0.0	84–78	>99%	<1%	5%
16	HOU Houston Astros 81–81	AL West	1492	0.0	81–81	>99%	>99%	5%
17	NYM New York Mets 74–88	NL East	1492	0.0	74–88	<1%	<1%	<1%
18	MIA Miami Marlins 80–82	NL East	1486	0.0	80–82	<1%	<1%	<1%
19	TOR Toronto Blue Jays 79–83	AL East	1484	0.0	79–83	<1%	<1%	<1%
20	WSH Washington Nationals 77–85	NL East	1476	0.0	77–85	<1%	<1%	<1%
21	STL St. Louis Cardinals 77–85	NL Central	1476	0.0	77–85	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	TEX Texas Rangers 80–82	AL West	1473	0.0	80–82	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	MIN Minnesota Twins 77–85	AL Central	1469	0.0	77–85	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	SEA Seattle Mariners 76–86	AL West	1459	0.0	76–86	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	SF San Francisco Giants 66–96	NL West	1451	0.0	66–96	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	CIN Cincinnati Reds 75–87	NL Central	1448	0.0	75–87	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	KC Kansas City Royals 69–93	AL Central	1446	0.0	69–93	<1%	<1%	<1%
28	LAA Los Angeles Angels 62–100	AL West	1428	0.0	62–100	<1%	<1%	<1%
29	COL Colorado Rockies 58–104	NL West	1398	0.0	58–104	<1%	<1%	<1%
30	ATH Athletics 64–98	AL West	1397	0.0	64–98	<1%	<1%	<1%

AL East

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
TB Tampa Bay Rays 98–64	—	1539	>99%	>99%	19%
NYY New York Yankees 92–68	5.0	1545	>99%	<1%	14%
BOS Boston Red Sox 87–75	11.0	1527	>99%	<1%	7%
TOR Toronto Blue Jays 79–83	19.0	1484	<1%	<1%	<1%
BAL Baltimore Orioles 79–82	18.5	1502	<1%	<1%	<1%

AL Central

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
CLE Cleveland Guardians 85–77	—	1505	>99%	>99%	7%
CWS Chicago White Sox 84–78	1.0	1495	>99%	<1%	5%
MIN Minnesota Twins 77–85	8.0	1469	<1%	<1%	<1%
DET Detroit Tigers 76–86	9.0	1500	<1%	<1%	<1%
KC Kansas City Royals 69–93	16.0	1446	<1%	<1%	<1%

AL West

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
HOU Houston Astros 81–81	—	1492	>99%	>99%	5%
TEX Texas Rangers 80–82	1.0	1473	<1%	<1%	<1%
SEA Seattle Mariners 76–86	5.0	1459	<1%	<1%	<1%
ATH Athletics 64–98	17.0	1397	<1%	<1%	<1%
LAA Los Angeles Angels 62–100	19.0	1428	<1%	<1%	<1%

NL East

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
ATL Atlanta Braves 94–69	—	1530	>99%	>99%	4%
PHI Philadelphia Phillies 88–74	5.5	1521	>99%	<1%	4%
MIA Miami Marlins 80–82	13.5	1486	<1%	<1%	<1%
WSH Washington Nationals 77–85	16.5	1476	<1%	<1%	<1%
NYM New York Mets 74–88	19.5	1492	<1%	<1%	<1%

NL Central

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
MIL Milwaukee Brewers 103–59	—	1578	>99%	>99%	16%
CHC Chicago Cubs 89–73	14.0	1537	>99%	<1%	4%
PIT Pittsburgh Pirates 82–80	21.0	1497	<1%	<1%	<1%
STL St. Louis Cardinals 77–85	26.0	1476	<1%	<1%	<1%
CIN Cincinnati Reds 75–87	28.0	1448	<1%	<1%	<1%

NL West

Team	GB	Rating	Playoffs	Win Div	Win WS
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers 100–62	—	1571	>99%	>99%	11%
SD San Diego Padres 91–71	9.0	1540	>99%	<1%	5%
AZ Arizona Diamondbacks 86–76	14.0	1511	<1%	<1%	<1%
SF San Francisco Giants 66–96	34.0	1451	<1%	<1%	<1%
COL Colorado Rockies 58–104	42.0	1398	<1%	<1%	<1%